Search results for "sovereign debt"
showing 10 items of 27 documents
EU external policy at the crossroads: The challenge of actorness and effectiveness
2013
The goal of this Special Issue is to improve our conceptualisation and empirical understanding of EU actorness and effectiveness in International Relations. While the European Union aspires to play a greater global role, its actorness and effectiveness cannot be taken for granted given the nature of the EU as a multi-level and semi-supranational polity encompassing 28 Member States with diverse foreign policy preferences. The EU is presently at an important crossroad. On the one hand, its external policy stature and capacity have been boosted by institutional innovations and by the Union’s increased involvement in the full spectrum of international issues. On the other hand, a number of fa…
Economic Crises, Sovereign Debt Restructurings and the Shifting Landscape of International Investment Law
2016
International audience
Stochastic debt sustainability analysis for sovereigns and the scope for optimization modeling
2017
We express the opinion that sovereign debt sustainability analysis must be augmented by stochastic correlated risk factors and a risk measure to capture tail effects. Crisis situations can thus be adequately specified and analyzed with sufficient accuracy to warrant the relevance of policy decisions. In this context there is significant scope for optimization modeling for both strategic planning and operational management. We discuss diverse aspects of the problem of debt sustainability and highlight modeling approaches that can be brought to bear on the problem. Results with the fictitiuous, but nor unrealistic, Kingdom of Atlantis, which is sinking under excessive debt, illustrate the pro…
Sovereign debt spreads in EMU: The time-varying role of fundamentals and market distrust
2017
Abstract This paper provides further analysis on the determinants of sovereign debt spreads for peripheral Eurozone countries since the start of EMU, paying special attention to episodes that characterized the global financial crisis aftermath starting in 2007. More specifically, the purpose of our research is to disentangle the role of fundamental variables and market perception about variations on risk in order to explain the evolution of sovereign spreads in EMU during the recent crisis. Our results, in line with previous literature, show the importance of three groups of observable variables, namely, changes in risk-aversion of creditors, fiscal indebtedness and liquidity variables. In …
The African Legal Support Facility as a Tool against Vulture Funds
2012
The article describes the action of vulture funds in enforcing sovereign debts against countries and the tools adopted to address the issue.
Risk management optimization for sovereign debt restructuring
2015
Debt restructuring is one of the policy tools available for resolving sovereign debt crises and, while unorthodox, it is not uncommon. We propose a scenario analysis for debt sustainability and integrate it with scenario optimization for risk management in restructuring sovereign debt. The scenario dynamics of debt-to-GDP ratio are used to define a tail risk measure, termed "conditional Debt-at-Risk". A multi-period stochastic programming model minimizes the expected cost of debt financing subject to risk limits. It provides an operational model to handle significant aspects of debt restructuring: it collects all debt issues in a common framework, and can include contingent claims, multiple…
2013 ECONOMY MOMENTUM CHALLENGES FOR NEXT 10 YEARS
2013
Last 5 years of almost unprecedented financial market turmoil it s still generating comprehensive crisis theories, market paradigms and nevertheless unprecedented situations. The aim of this paper is to explain 2013 milestone momentum for new market rules and regulations implementation - Basel III. The expected immediate cushion factors as well the possible negative impact on financial markets is presented from financial institutions perspective. Finally, the paper seeks for an exploratory after 10 years scenario connected with imminent market evolution and tendencies.
A Stochastic Programming Model for the Optimal Issuance of Government Bonds
2010
Sovereign states issue fixed and floating securities to fund their public debt. The value of such portfolios strongly depends on the fluctuations of the term structure of interest rates. This is a typical example of planning under uncertainty, where decisions has to be drawn on the base of the key stochastic economic factors underneath the model.We propose a multistage stochastic programming model to select portfolios of bonds, where the aim of the decision maker is that of minimizing the cost of the decision process. At the same time, we bound the conditional Value-at-Risk, a measure of risk which accounts for the losses of the tail distribution. We build an efficient frontier to trade-off…
Do debt crises boost financial reforms?
2014
"Published online: 15 Aug. 2014"
Financial stress and sovereign debt composition
2015
"Published online: 19 Oct 2015"